I’ve talked about earlier than (and can point out once more a number of occasions) that I do my very own projections, however I test to see what Steamer is doing for projections, as a result of we companion with them and it could be A) Irresponsible to not test. B) Silly. C) There’s no C. D)umb E) Silly, dumb and irresponsible had been kinda the identical so how is there an E is there wasn’t actually a B, C or D? F) Cease lettering shizz! G) Rattling it! H) That’s it! I) stop! So, I point out Steamer projections as a result of I used to be casually on the lookout for sleepers for the 2025 fantasy baseball season, and trying out what they had been saying to see if I missed one thing. I sorted by steals and noticed Acuña with 51. Okay, is sensible, nothing bizarre there. Then I noticed Corbin Carroll with 41 and I used to be like, “Yeah, I can see that. He’s very quick.” Then third for many projected steals is the place I noticed Victor Robles with 37 steals, and I actually fell out of my seat. No exaggeration. Plus, I used to be standing in a chair so it was an particularly excessive fall. Who’s going to pay for my physician’s invoice? Victor Robles or Steamer? I demand solutions! So, what can we anticipate from Victor Robles for 2025 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
PSYCHE! I’ve begun to roll out my 2025 fantasy baseball rankings on the Patreon. Don’t anticipate the rankings to come back out subsequent month. Additionally, I set us up with Gladiator draft to shake the rust off for my first 2025 fantasy baseball draft. For these unaware, a Gladiator draft is a 15-team league, and the 23 you draft are the 23 locked into your roster all season. That’s it, no FAAB, no lineup setting, nothing to do after the draft ends. It’s as straightforward as drafting gamers who will carry out nicely and by no means get damage. It’s additionally solely $50 vs. the $150. There’s solely a sure variety of these drafts, so the pool for total prizes is shallower too. After we’re executed with this, I’ll arrange a DC. The draft begins on Thursday at midday, nevertheless it’s a gradual draft, so that you don’t must be close to a pc. Come draft with me! Right here’s the hyperlink. Anyway II, the Victor Robles sleeper:
Final 12 months, Victor Robles obtained a brand new lease on life with the Mariners. With a superb FICO rating, he was accepted for “hitting leadoff” and “in entrance of Julio Rodriguez.” In fact, the lease turned out to have some positive print that learn, “Julio Rodriguez is now solely good within the month of September.” Nonetheless, what a pleasure for Robles. Additionally, don’t say “what a pleasure” aloud round strangers as a result of they may have permission to punch you within the mouth. Within the 2nd half final 12 months, Robles hit .323 with 26 steals in 53 video games and 198 ABs. That got here with a 17 Okay% and 5.8 BB%. The bizarre factor is you is likely to be pondering to your self, “How did the Mariners make him a very good hitter and may they do it once more for JRod?” Good query. Dot dot dot. Not! I reversal’d your ass. In a partial season (107 ABs) with the Nats the 12 months earlier than, Robles hit .299. Going again the 12 months earlier than that (that’s known as 2022), and he wasn’t fairly this hitter, however he’s 27 till Could and has proven himself to be a brand new and improved Hit Instrument man with pace. You don’t have a ~16 Okay% throughout two years by luck. He seems like a .285 hitter with 35-steal pace. That’s wonderful.
However, ya know, you could find steals low-cost, proper? SAGNOF, in any case. Jacob Younger is sixth on the Steamer record for steals at 31 steals; he has distinctive pace; is being drafted even later than Victor Robles; semicolons are enjoyable, and far more enjoyable than semiconductors. Actually, Jacob Younger isn’t a nasty late identify to place in your rear pocket once you’re about to put in your abdomen, however that is about Victor Robles and is he simply steals? Effectively, no, I mentioned he was a .285 hitter. Too unhealthy he by no means hit for energy. [intern whispers in ear] What!? Rattling it! I simply climbed again up on this chair and fell off once more. Possibly I ought to cease standing on chairs. Victor Robles hit 17 homers in 2019. Sure, that was the 12 months the ball was juiced out the gills as they are saying at bodybuilding competitions amongst fish. In a half 12 months final 12 months, he hit 4 homers and solely three in 53 video games with the M’s. Don’t assume he’s going to all of the sudden hit 20 homers or one thing ridiculous. Ten homers isn’t obscene, although.
Let’s do a recap and wrap this up like we’re Erykah Badu, he has double digit energy, presumably. Ought to hit round .285. Will hit leadoff. And has 30+ steal pace. Somebody with that potential who has by no means reached these heights? Steven Kwan. He went 14/12/.292 final 12 months. He’s being drafted fifty spots in entrance of Victor Robles. C’mon. Pete Crow-Armstrong (who I like) went 10/27/.237 final 12 months. Primarily similar pace and energy, however fifty factors off in common. He’s being drafted eighty spots greater than Robles. Mmkay. For 2025, I’ll give Victor Robles projections of 76/8/47/.287/34 in 471 ABs with an opportunity for rather more.