Ober-Rated – April 11, 2025
Bailey Ober, SP, Minnesota Twins
On the floor, Ober had a stable sport, going 6 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 Ok. That being mentioned, he allowed a whopping ten exhausting hit balls. Ober has an astronomical .462 xwOBACON in opposition to, pushed by 56.5% Laborious Hit fee. He is additionally strolling a profession excessive 13.9% of batters. His fastball velocity is at a profession low 90.6. Don’t begin him.
Tristan Casas, 1B, Boston Crimson Sox
Casas went 1-4 with a Ok and two exhausting hit balls. It has been a tough begin to the 12 months for the breakout candidate. Sadly for Casas, the underlying figures are fairly dangerous. He’s whiffing at 34.3% and chasing at 29.7%. He is solely hitting 31% of balls exhausting, and the .340 xwOBACON is under common. Casas struck out at 31.7% final 12 months, and the whiff issues from final 12 months have been carried into this 12 months. He walked at 12.3% final 12 months, however is simply doing so at 6.5% now. The most important concern is that Casas is swinging in-zone extra now than ever in his profession (75%), and it hasn’t led to raised contact. He is solely making contact within the zone 1% extra in comparison with final 12 months. His meatball swing % can be at a profession excessive, so Casas truly has stable swing selections, however good swing selections mixed with larger swing charges hasn’t led to extra or higher contact. This can be a critical purple flag.
Logan O’ Hoppe, C, Angels
The catcher continued his sizzling begin by going 3-5 with 2 R on three exhausting hit balls. He’s slashing .359/.375/.769. This type of manufacturing from the catching place is an insane benefit. Nevertheless, O’Hoppe has some purple flags that should be mentioned. He’s putting out at 37.1% and strolling at 2.9%. It’s exhausting to strike out greater than that, and exhausting to stroll much less. O’Hoppe has horrific contact (37.2% Whiff) and equally dangerous swing selections (40% Chase). The one option to accomplish this whereas barrelling 33.3% of baseball is principally by mishitting zero baseballs when he makes contact. His .678 xwOBACON solidifies that. I truly actually preferred O’Hoppe final 12 months, and nonetheless like him this 12 months, however I assure the present manufacturing will completely not final. He should settle in as an amazing fantasy catcher, however with this type of efficiency, it’s good to promote excessive.
Quinn Priester, SP, Milwaukee Brewers
Priester made his season debut, not lengthy after being traded to Milwaukee. He posted a stable line, going 5 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 Ok. The one run got here on a solo homer. He allowed six exhausting hit balls. Whereas I admire the road from Priester, my essential concern is that neither his sinker nor his cutter, his two most used pitches, produced a single whiff. Priester struggled within the whiff division final 12 months (22.2%), largely as a consequence of his heavy sinker profile, which admittedly get a plethora of groundballs (56.7%). Given the amount of balls in play Priester shall be dealing with, I’ve a tough time seeing him turning into fantasy related.
Junior Caminero, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays
Caminero had an amazing day on the plate, going 3-4 with a R on two exhausting hit balls. The teenager is off to a mediocre begin, slashing .282/.310/.410. Sadly, there are some stable holes on this profile proper now, and the breakout is actually not right here. Whereas Caminero has one hundredth Percentile bat velocity, the standard of contact is almost absent. He has precisely one barrel in 42 PAs, a fifth Percentile LA Candy Spot %, and .309 xwOBACON. Fortunately, Caminero is making stable swing selections. His chase fee continues to be low, and he is attacking meatballs at a clip 19% larger in comparison with final 12 months. His zone contact is up 12%. The excellent news is that he’s turning into a greater “hitter” however his means to truly make clear contact is absent. In the event you’re hoping the breakout is imminent, I might guess in any other case. This man is a GREAT candidate for the torpedo bat if he would not already use one.
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