On Wednesday night time, the Brewers staved off elimination in probably the most dramatic of the way; in case you’ve been residing underneath a rock, late homers by Jackson Chourio (his second game-tying homer of the night time, making him simply the second participant ever to try this in a postseason sport, becoming a member of some man named George) and Garrett Mitchell propelled Milwaukee to an exciting comeback win. That tied the collection at one, organising a winner-take-all matchup tonight for the correct to advance to the NL Division Sequence, the place the Philadelphia Phillies await the winner.
To get it completed at present, the Brewers might want to overcome an previous nemesis, Jose Quintana. His identify has been etched into workforce lore as a Brewer killer. It’s true that for a few years, Quintana appeared to know one thing in regards to the Brewers’ lineup that nobody else did: from 2012-18, Quintana made 11 begins towards Milwaukee and went 6-2 with a 1.62 ERA, a stretch which included a shutout and one other sport the place he pitched eight scoreless innings in a 1-0, 10-inning victory.
Thankfully for Brewer followers, that model of Quintana—the Brewer killer—hasn’t actually been round these days, regardless of what the tv announcers would have you ever assume. In 12 video games (11 begins) for the reason that finish of the 2018 season, Quintana is simply 3-5 with a 4.68 ERA towards Milwaukee. He doesn’t have a profitable determination towards the Brewers since September 2019, and his groups have misplaced 5 of the final six video games by which he has pitched towards the Brewers.
And but, Quintana continues to be going fairly robust, regardless of being 35 years previous: he threw 170 1⁄3 innings this season, his most in a season since 2019, and posted a decent 3.75 ERA (which did outpace his 4.56 FIP by fairly a bit). And it’s nonetheless true that Milwaukee had relative struggles towards left-handed pitching this season: they batted .245/.326/.387 (.713 OPS) as a workforce versus lefties and .250/.326/.409 (.735 OPS) towards righties.
The Mets also needs to have Edwin Díaz able to do mainly no matter is requested of him; after throwing an entire bunch of pitches on Sunday and Monday, he didn’t pitch in both of the primary two video games of this collection. I might nearly be stunned to see Díaz for fewer than two innings if the Mets have a late lead. Moreover, David Peterson—who threw seven one-hit, shutout innings towards the Brewers on Sunday—has not pitched since, and you’d think about that if Quintana exhibits any indicators of early hassle, Peterson might be able to piggyback. Peterson led Mets starters in ERA this season, and it will be a little bit of a shock to not see him in any respect.
Tobias Myers will get the beginning for Milwaukee. Who had cash on Myers, postseason starter, in spring coaching this yr? Although Myers did falter a bit towards the top of the season, he regarded sharp in his final begin on Sept. 28 towards this very workforce: New York mustered just one hit and no walks as Myers struck out 5 in 4 shutout innings. Whether or not that outing is extra a sign that Myers has the Mets’ numbers or an additional likelihood for the Mets to get a have a look at Myers stays to be seen, however the Brewers bullpen is in fairly good condition: Aaron Civale and DL Corridor ought to each be accessible for a number of innings out of the bullpen, if obligatory, and you’d assume that Devin Williams, who threw solely 10 pitches in his save yesterday, would possibly even be accessible for greater than three outs if the scenario requires it.
The query of whether or not we’d see one in every of final night time’s heroes, Garrett Mitchell, within the beginning lineup at present has been answered: he’ll once more start the sport on the bench versus the lefty. He will certainly be within the playing cards as quickly as a right-hander enters for the Mets. The gamers within the lineup are the identical as yesterday, however there was a bit little bit of shuffling: Brice Turang, who’s 5-for-8 with three doubles within the collection, has moved as much as second, with Blake Perkins dropping right down to seventh.
First pitch is at 6:08 p.m. CT on ESPN, and you’ll hear it on the Brewers Radio Community if you’d like a extra partisan broadcast.