The Philadelphia Phillies lastly bought it accomplished final yr, successful their first Nationwide League East crown in 13 years. They may repeat the feat in 2025.
So says my prediction system, which in contrast the three-year information (2022-2024) of present golf equipment in opposition to the corresponding performances of 1,318 groups relationship again to the arrival of free company in 1976.
My laptop winnowed by almost half a century of knowledge to isolate the 50 closest matches (CM) for every present group — the 50 golf equipment from the previous whose three-year performances mirrored these of every present-day member of the NL East. I then checked the following performances of these 50 groups.
Every CM that completed above .500 within the season following its three-year span acquired a single level. Two extra factors have been awarded for a playoff slot, one other three for a league championship, and an additional 4 for a world title.
The Phillies ended up with 128 prediction factors, foreshadowing a reasonably simple NL East title. Right here is the anticipated order of end:
1. Philadelphia Phillies
2. Atlanta Braves
3. New York Mets
4. Washington Nationals
5. Miami Marlins
Look under for breakdowns for all 5 groups. Every abstract begins with the membership’s 2025 prediction factors, then its 2024 file, after which the next-year outcomes for its 50 CMs. The ultimate line discloses the very closest match of all. (The subsequent-season file for the closest CM could also be at odds with my general prediction, however don’t be involved. The cumulative rating for all 50 CMs is what actually counts.)
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2025 prediction factors: 128
2024 file: 95-67
Closest matches (CM): 50
Received World Sequence in subsequent season: 5 of fifty
Received league title in subsequent season: 8 of fifty
Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 23 of fifty
Topped .500 in subsequent season: 38 of fifty
Closest match of all for 2025: 2013 Rays (92-71)
2025 prediction factors: 102
2024 file: 89-73
Closest matches (CM): 50
Received World Sequence in subsequent season: 3 of fifty
Received league title in subsequent season: 6 of fifty
Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 18 of fifty
Topped .500 in subsequent season: 36 of fifty
Closest match of all for 2025: 2015 Cardinals (100-62)
2025 prediction factors: 56
2024 file: 89-73
Closest matches (CM): 50
Received World Sequence in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
Received league title in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 11 of fifty
Topped .500 in subsequent season: 27 of fifty
Closest match of all for 2025: 1999 Rangers (95-67)
2025 prediction factors: 35
2024 file: 71-91
Closest matches (CM): 50
Received World Sequence in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
Received league title in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 7 of fifty
Topped .500 in subsequent season: 14 of fifty
Closest match of all for 2025: 2015 Cubs (97-65)
2025 prediction factors: 12
2024 file: 62-100
Closest matches (CM): 50
Received World Sequence in subsequent season: 0 of fifty
Received league title in subsequent season: 0 of fifty
Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 2 of fifty
Topped .500 in subsequent season: 8 of fifty
Closest match of all for 2025: 2017 Twins (85-77)
