I’ve a number of sleeper posts within the hopper which might be “write themselves” sleepers. Luis Garcia Jr. is a write itself sleeper. Okay, ChatGPT, give me your greatest Luis Garcia Jr. sleeper submit: “Luis Garcia Jr. is the Nationals’ 2nd baseman who added Jr. to his title after MLB added a rule that stated there might be solely seven Luis Garcias. That one of the best Luis Garcia added Jr. leaves six Luis Garcias battling out to see which Luis Garcia will reign supreme, which is a Luis Garcia with bitter cream. Is there the rest I may also help you with?” Hmm, perhaps I’ll wait till ChatGPT Jr. Final 12 months Luis Garcia Jr. was 83rd general on the Participant Rater and is at the moment being drafted round one hundred and fortieth general. That’s about as straightforward because it will get for sleepers. He went 18/22/.282 in 500 ABs and he’s 24 years outdated. I actually don’t know the way on earth he’s being drafted as late as he’s. I analysis these sleeper posts and attempt to give you robust causes to draft a man. I already really feel like I’m going to spend most of my time making an attempt to determine the reason why Luis Garcia Jr. will not be getting drafted greater. What am I lacking on Luis Garcia Jr. vs. So, what can we count on from Luis Garcia Jr. for 2025 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
So, Davey Martinez will not be the dumbest supervisor there’s, however he did audit a category at The Studying Annex referred to as Lefty vs. Lefty Is A Dumb Matchup taught by Kevin Money, and Luis Garcia Jr. doesn’t face all lefties. He did hit .259 final 12 months in 108 lefty-on-lefty at-bats, so I’m a bit confused why he would ever be platooned out. At 24 years of age, it’s a must to assume, or at the very least I’ve to, that Davey will get a bit of extra snug with Garcia as he sees extra MLB at-bats, however including Junior to your title does kinda counter the looks of knowledge from expertise. Alas, he noticed 500 ABs and noticed 108 lefty ABs, that’s superb. Repeat that season of at-bats, and I’m okay on his runs and RBIs.
Luis Garcia Jr. is a .280 hitter. Not less than. Final 12 months he hit .282 with a .310 BABIP with a 16.3 Ok% and a 35.7 O-Swing% and 67.9 Z-Swing%, which is fascinating. For clarification functions, that O-Swing, quantity of instances a man swings outdoors zone, and Z-Swing, quantity of instances inside zone, are excessive and low, respectively. Right here it’s visually:
See that Chase% at 9 and Ok% at 82? These are fascinating. These numbers inform me that he swings at all the things and might hit it. This profile may not age nicely, however there’s a ton of men who’re stable with horrible Chase charges. Luis Arraez, who wins a batting title yearly, makes contact with 90.7% of balls outdoors the zone (and barrels just about nothing). Arraez is a .320 xBA man and Luis Garcia Jr. is “solely” .280. In case the quotes round “solely” weren’t clear, .280 continues to be wonderful. Oh, and Arraez is a six-homer and six-steal man. Guess what? Luis Garcia Jr. is in no way.
Three of the months final 12 months, Luis Garcia Jr. hit 4 homers in a month. For 2nd basemen, Ketel Marte was one of the best contact man, simply. 2nd place is a bit muddled, nevertheless it positive seems like Luis Garcia Jr.
And Frank Voila:
These pass over some guys who solely noticed 300 and fewer batted ball occasions, however 2nd base ain’t nice and the names don’t get a ton higher. Principally, Nolan Gorman and Brandon Lowe sneak in. Luis Garcia Jr. is a no brainer sleeper and solely hoping the market doesn’t right itself an excessive amount of earlier than I get to draft him all over the place. For 2025, I’ll give Luis Garcia Jr. projections of 69/20/74/.279/26 in 505 ABs with an opportunity for extra.
