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Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – December 23rd, 2024

Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – December 23rd, 2024
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Right here is right this moment’s chat transcript:

10:00

Justin Mason: Chat will start when I’ve questions. Within the meantime, please observe me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, fb, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I’m doing common podcasts on the FWFB podcast in addition to three episodes every week for the Sleeper and the Bust so undoubtedly be sure to are subscribed there as properly!

10:04

numero dos: Whats your ideas on Kristian Campbell this yr? Is he adequate to make a big influence?

10:05

Justin Mason: It’s actually laborious to assume that he’ll make an influence this yr, however I do assume he might be making an influence in 2026. He’s nonetheless fairly uncooked, however he initiatives properly and has a variety of pure expertise

10:05

Visitor: Any likelihood Jax takes over as Nearer for the Twins this yr?

10:05

Justin Mason: In all probability not until one thing occurs to Duran

10:06

Jack: Sooooooooo, appears to be like just like the orioles aren’t getting an ace? I actually thought they’d snag Manaea. I actually don’t see a Flaherty reunion… I’ll imagine a Castillo commerce after I see it. I’ve heard a couple of stop commerce, however it seems each the commerce route(crochet) and the free agent route is simply too costly for them.

10:07

Justin Mason: Yeah, that is fairly disappointing. Actually thought they’d be a participant for quite a few these free agent pitchers. I may see Pivetta ending up there, however that isn’t what folks thought they’d get. Burnes continues to be unsigned and whereas he has been rumored to be going different locations, I nonetheless assume they’re within the race there

10:08

Mochi: What does going to Boston do for Buehler’s ADP and your opinion on the transfer?

10:10

Justin Mason: Form of adore it for either side. Buehler will get an opportunity to reestablish his long run worth and work with Andrew Bailey who’s my favourite pitching coach within the Majors. Boston will get a variety of upside with out a ton of draw back on a one-year deal. I believe the ADP shoots up 30 picks or so however continues to be a worthy gamble

10:10

Sean L: Should you have been as much as decide in a 5×5 and Crews, Jasson and Matt Shaw have been each there, who would you absorb redraft and is it a distinct reply if it was dynasty?

10:11

Justin Mason: Give me Jasson Dominguez in a redraft. I simply assume he will get probably the most PAs. I’ll take Crews in Dynasty as a result of I believe the upside is the best.

10:11

Ryan: Ideas on Adames this yr? Does the transfer from MIL to SF drastically have an effect on his energy?

10:13

Justin Mason: I like Adames, however the transfer to SF undoubtedly hurts his worth. The workforce is worse. The park is worse. That being stated, I count on his ADP should still be an honest gamble as a result of the group tends to overrate this stuff an excessive amount of.

10:14

Justin Mason: It undoubtedly may very well be you closing for the Nationals lol

10:15

Justin Mason: however critically, I assume they are going to make some additions to the bullpen over the following month. That is trying like a workforce that desires to start out competing so that they might want to strengthen their pen. Yates may very well be an attention-grabbing signing. Might additionally see them going for quite a few decrease tier guys and simply attempt to unfold the saves and holds round

10:16

Balthazar: Which of the highest remaining FAs are you hoping the Giants signal?

10:17

Justin Mason: It must be Burnes. A rotation of Burnes, Webb, Hicks, Ray could be fairly incredible.

10:17

Lord Thunder: Is the sheen off SP Bobby Miller, or does he get a mulligan for 2024?

10:18

Justin Mason: I don’t assume you may utterly disregard 2024 particularly as a result of the Dodgers are loaded within the rotation and there’s no assure that he could have a spot in it particularly in the event that they land Sasaki. That being stated, I believe this can be a good purchase low alternative.

10:19

Justin Mason: I believe his method is at all times going to be a difficulty, however his protection will give him a ton of probabilities. I actually assume he wants extra time within the minors to refine the method, however the Crimson Sox will doubtless give him a shot out of camp

10:19

Balthazar: The place do you fall on the QS vs. W debate?

10:19

Justin Mason: Neither are good. Personally, I like wins, however I’m keen to play in both

10:20

Jack: Contemplating Christian walker would have match completely on the Yankees and signed an affordable contract, is it laborious to not have them because the favorites for Vlad since they went the 1 yr stopgap route with Goldy? I believe they could get Vlad and Tucker..

10:21

Justin Mason: Feels like there’s a affordable likelihood that Vladdy indicators a long run deal in Toronto, but when he doesn’t, I might count on the Yankees to be large gamers for him in 2026. I undoubtedly assume Tucker might be their high precedence in 2026 after lacking on Soto although

10:21

Balthazar: Play any keeper leagues? Commerce chatter within the offseason helps move the time …

10:21

Justin Mason: I play in a few dynasty leagues and one actually advanced deep keeper. I actually love them as was of serving to me prep and simply to move that point within the offseason

10:22

Kevin: I do know the Sacramento ballpark is extra a pitchers park than others within the PCL. However have you learnt the way it compares to the Oakland Coliseum? (I’d guess it’s higher than Oakland for hitters due to the nice and cozy, dry local weather.)

10:23

Justin Mason: I’m type of ready to see what folks like Todd Zola and Derek Carty must say on the park components there, however the local weather is way drier and it’s a smaller park. It doesn’t play as offensively as most PCL parks, however this might be a giant change for the offensive gamers in addition to pitchers.

10:24

COMISH4LIF: With the #2 decide within the Minor League portion of our Draft, who from the 2024 draft class (NL solely) ought to I be scouting/studying up on?

10:25

Justin Mason: Sasaki will doubtless be the primary decide there if eligible. For me I might have a look at Chase Burns, Charlie Condon, and JJ Wetherholt as choices at decide 2

10:26

Justin Mason: I believe all of it is determined by well being for Conforto. It is a nice alternative for him in LA so if he can keep on the sector, I count on a reasonably good yr for him.

10:27

SP gambles: 20 workforce league.   30 man rosters/24 keepers. Jared Jones to move my rotation.  Painter and Jobe ready in wings.  However subsequent guys are like Ed Cabrera, Bobby Miller, Festa.   Are these guys price taking a shot on when the price is slicing guys like alacantara and Cassie?  I really feel fairly set with younger hitting expertise.

10:28

Justin Mason: I’m taking Alcantara over all these guys.

10:28

Justin Mason: I might most likely go Miller over Cassie although

10:28

Martin: No questions right here! Only a Completely satisfied Holidays to you, Danielle, and the entire household!

10:28

Justin Mason: Completely satisfied Holidays and a Completely satisfied New 12 months to you and yours as properly!

10:28

Balthazar: Looks like a variety of selections being made earlier than Xmas. The place does Alonso wind up? And will he go the 1-year route?

10:29

Justin Mason: I believe he finally ends up again with the Mets personally. I may see him doing a Bellinger sort three yr cope with choose outs to reestablish his market.

10:29

John: I believe David festa might need a sneaky good yr.. apparently Pablo could be on the block, I may see him be the fantasy ace in Minnesota if that’s the case, simply has to sneak by ober

10:30

Justin Mason: I actually like Festa. I believe after his first couple of begins, he actually established himself as an possibility there. Would like to see him take a step ahead and he might be on a variety of my groups this yr

10:30

Lick My Love Pump: Do you assume mediocre gamers are receptive to platoons? Like does Joc thoughts that he sits vs. lefties?

10:31

Justin Mason: I believe Gamers like Joc Pederson are good with a powerful aspect platoon position as a result of it helps their total stat line look higher in the long run. Each participant desires to play on a regular basis, however being on a powerful aspect of a platoon a minimum of retains you on a workforce

10:31

Lick My Love Pump: Who’re 2025’s Royals?

10:32

Justin Mason: The AL Central Champs!

10:32

Mochi: Talking of Hicks, purpose to imagine this yr might be totally different than final yr or anticipating extra of the identical?

10:33

Justin Mason: I believe he might be extra of the identical, however possibly extra innings. The stuff is nice, however he pitches to contact a lot that I simply don’t see it enjoying up. I may see 140 innings this yr which might be good

10:33

Lick My Love Pump: A pleasant reminder that the Tigers and the Royals each made the playoffs! ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE

10:33

Justin Mason: That’s the great thing about baseball!

10:33

HappyFunBall: re: The Nats. I _firmly_ imagine that an actual bullpen is nearly the very last thing a contender must put collectively. Given the variance in reliever efficiency over, it’s virtually silly to attempt to line up these guys greater than a yr out. Rizzo must hold constructing the lineup and the roatation, and may throw issues on the wall to fill out the pen for now

10:34

Justin Mason: It is a very reasonable level. It’s also simpler so as to add the to the bullpen in season to allow them to type of see the place they’re at in the direction of the deadline.

10:34

GR: Keeper league, 6×6 with QS as an alternative of W. Which two of those three do you retain? Kikuchi, Jeffrey Springs, Jared Jones?

10:34

Justin Mason: Jones and Springs for me

10:34

Kate: Odds of a Bichette bounceback?  To not peak, however to 2023 possibly?

10:35

Justin Mason: I undoubtedly can see a bounceback to 2023 numbers, however on the identical time, it’s laborious to know what Bichette is at this level.

10:35

Mochi: Do you assume Bo Bichette will finish this yr in Toronto?  It feels extraordinarily contextual but when he begins out scorching, certainly they must take calls?

10:35

Justin Mason: I believe if he bounces again, then he undoubtedly will get moved. If not, they most likely simply let it trip.

10:36

Kevin: Normally, do you assume leagues with minimal IP necessities ought to decrease the minimal with SPs throwing fewer and fewer innings? Or do you discover it extra interesting to have to make use of lesser high quality SPs who’re innings eaters?

10:36

Justin Mason: To be trustworthy, I hate innings necessities, however I perceive the necessity for them. I personally assume it is best to make them as little as potential particularly with the assemble of right this moment’s sport.

10:36

Kate: Looking for a cheapish 1B in my dynasty league (15 groups roto OBP).  Do you like all of Yandy Diaz, Brandon Lowe (eligible at 1B on this league), Goldschmidt, Hoskins?

10:38

Justin Mason: I really like Yandy and Lowe this yr particularly in OBP. Taking part in in a minor league park may very well be huge for them.

10:39

Cousin Eddie: Which rookies do you count on to contribute probably the most in 2025?

10:40

ACC: Now that Willy Adames is in SF. Is he a hold over Michael Harris or Schwarber. 12 workforce hold perpetually. Already holding JoRam, FTJ and Ketel Marte.

10:41

Justin Mason: Nah, I’m taking Schwarber there

10:41

A Jooly Good Oberkfellow: Regardless of being within the 92nd percentile of FG customers, I nonetheless completed eighth out of twelfth in my league this yr. Please absolve me for ruining the model….

10:41

Justin Mason: All of us have down years. I imagine in you

10:41

Justin Mason: additionally, level awarded

10:41

Idiotic Failson: Extra of an precise query than a fantasy one, however what are the Yankees going to do at 3b? They doubtless want a LHH which Bregman and Arenado are undoubtedly not (except for the truth that Arenado is declining and costly). They don’t have a viable in home possibility. They appear like they’re kinda doomed to repeat the error of going into the season with out a actual 3b

10:43

Justin Mason: I really feel like Bregman goes to finish up there. I don’t assume Arenado desires to go to the Yankees so he isn’t doubtless an possibility. I may see them bringing again Gleyber although that appears unlikely. Might Ha-Seong kim be an possibility?

10:43

A Jolly Good Oberkfellow: Discuss a down yr–couldn’t even sort my consumer identify accurately…. (Jooly!?)

10:43

Justin Mason: Level awarded!

10:44

Idiotic Failson: When does Lazaro Montes make the majors, and is he going to be a fantasy stud?

10:45

Justin Mason: I believe it comes all the way down to the hit instrument which isn’t tremendous promising proper now. Particularly as a result of he’s defensively restricted.

10:45

Justin Mason: I might guess he’s nonetheless 2 years away a minimum of

10:46

Visitor: Which minor league catcher, D. Baldwin or A. Ramirez (or possibly someone else), could have the bottom ADP?

10:46

Justin Mason: I might go Baldwin, however I very not often put money into minor league catchers. There are simply so laborious to foretell

10:47

Mochi: Any hopes for Loperfido’s bat? Or is he just about a under league common man on the plate?

10:47

Justin Mason: In all probability the latter. Platoon bat

10:48

George Thomas Seaver: In a 12-team factors league the place I can freeze just one, I take Ketel Marte over Albies for 2025, no?

10:48

Justin Mason: Yeah, I believe so

10:48

Idiotic Failson: Do you assume Bazzana performs within the majors subsequent yr?

10:48

Justin Mason: Sooner or later, I believe he does. Simply is probably not till midseason

10:49

Justin Mason: Out of questions! Ship extra

10:50

Mochi: Between you and Paul, which considered one of you will get a lump of Canha in your stocking this yr?

10:50

Justin Mason: Bought to be Paul, proper?! I referred to as that commerce.

10:50

Justin Mason: Level awarded

10:50

Lord Thunder: Will Hayden Birdson be within the rotation for the Giants this season?

10:50

Justin Mason: I believe in the event that they signal Burnes he’s in AAA. If not, he’ll compete for the fifth spot.

10:51

Visitor: Royce Lewis, Vientos or commerce for Caminero? 12-team factors

10:51

Justin Mason: Lewis in redraft. Caminero in dynasty or keeper

10:51

Spatchcocked Rotisserie Baseball: Hello!  Which rookie hitter you want most this yr?  Any of Shaw, Anthony, or Campbell a giant distinction maker?  Thanks!

10:52

Justin Mason: Roman Anthony is the highest man for me. I believe he might be a stud. I believe Shaw will make a giant distinction this yr. Campbell is extra of a 2026 man for me

10:52

George Thomas Seaver: Once more, 12 workforce, factors league. Pleased with Crochet and Ragans as your freezer starters? Did nab Alcantara, McLanahan, and Sengai on the IL to see how they appear in Spring Coaching.

10:52

Justin Mason: I might be pleased with these and I like these snags too

10:52

Justin Mason: Give me Horwitz, however I nonetheless love Busch

10:52

Biscuit: 16 tm dynasty with wage escalation, 2 catcher league. Can hold Langeliers at $8. Value it? Has he reached an precise new degree of manufacturing or extra doubtless reverting again to an empty 20 bombs?

10:53

Justin Mason: I believe what we noticed final yr is legit, so I might hold him for positive in a 2-catcher league that deep

10:53

Alan: What can we count on from Kershaw, Verlander, and Scherzer, and through which order would you draft them?  Thanks.

10:54

Justin Mason: REally laborious to know at this level of their careers. I might go Scherzer, Verlander, Kershaw

10:54

Lord Thunder: Are you banking on a Luis Robert comeback, or is he too dangerous at this level?

10:55

Justin Mason: I undoubtedly wouldn’t financial institution on it along with his harm historical past and ability decline. The worth appears loopy to me at this level too. I’m passing

10:55

Adam: Any hope for Marsh in 2025? His splits are god terrible and I don’t assume I can depend on him for on a regular basis

10:55

Justin Mason: I believe he retains some enjoying time due to the protection, however he’s solely helpful in very deep codecs.

10:55

AL onlyKeeper Public sale 10 workforce: Planning to supply Springs $7 and Munoz $14 for M.Miller $12, is that this an excessive amount of or too little? Is it price upgrading the Miller from Munoz?

10:55

Justin Mason: That seems like an excessive amount of for me

10:56

Jonah: Final 2 keeper slots in my OBP league, laborious time deciding, who would you retain 2 out of on this checklist? Altuve, Rooker, Jazz, Butler, Westburg, Vientos

10:56

Justin Mason: That’s actually powerful. I really feel like the appropriate reply might be Chisholm and Altuve, however I actually wish to hold Bulter. I believe he’s legit

10:56

Mochi: ever ate at Vesta in Redwood Metropolis?  The pizzas are completely bonkers

10:56

Justin Mason: I’ve not, however I’ll completely test it out!

10:57

tumtum: Questioning in the event you’ve heard of Hunter Bigge and if he’s a deep toot sleeper

10:58

Justin Mason: I’ve due to that actually deep, advanced keeper league I referenced earlier. I drafted him earlier than buying and selling him. I believe he may very well be a very deep sleeper, however the Rays usually go along with older guys as closers and there’s no assure he makes the workforce.

10:58

Spatchcocked Rotisserie Baseball: attempting to correctly worth William Contreras.  I normally fade catcher, however along with his stats and DH ABs, he looks like really price some premium.  What do you assume?

10:59

Justin Mason: I’ve him as a high 3 catcher this season proper now due to his capacity to quantity since he isn’t catching anymore. Love him this season

10:59

Biscuit: 16 tm dynasty with wage escalation – Jarren Duran on a really inexpensive wage. Would you be purchasing him? His stats final yr have been higher than the earlier 3 mixed. He’s already 28.

10:59

Justin Mason: I might not. I’m an enormous believer in Durran. Take pleasure in it

11:00

gerald: Public sale Calculator (steamer or Depth Chart) says Wacha is price detrimental worth, what’s the cope with this, he’s had three straight good seasons?

11:01

Justin Mason: Wacha is a main instance of projections not with the ability to correctly seize what sort of what he can do on the mound. My projections could have him a lot increased as a result of he outpitches his metrics. I believe he might be a pleasant worth

11:01

Thanos: You up or down on India with the Royals. Positive the facility figures to be decrease, however it’s a significantly better total workforce no?

11:01

Justin Mason: Down. I believe it’s a good workforce, however that park hurts him rather a lot from the facility perspective.

11:01

Eury Perez: Will I be an element this yr? Long run stud?

11:01

Justin Mason: I don’t assume this yr, however he’s a stud long run.

11:01

Idiotic Failson: Was there anybody helped extra by a commerce than Isaac Parades? He appeared very mediocre in Wrigley, however shifting to Houston appears to assist him an awesome deal.

11:02

Justin Mason: That is the right touchdown spot. Love him as a bounceback.

11:02

Justin Mason: Okay, that’s on a regular basis I’ve. please observe me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, fb, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I’m doing common podcasts on the FWFB podcast in addition to three episodes every week for the Sleeper and the Bust so undoubtedly be sure to are subscribed there as properly!

 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs masking the Roto Riteup in addition to different periodic articles. Along with his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy author/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the proprietor of The Nice Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He’s additionally a licensed habit remedy counselor. Comply with Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.



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