Homestretch Hitters to Watch – August 28, 2024
Riley Greene
Greene went 1-4 with a solo homer and a pair of Okay on Tuesday. He’s slashing .241/.313/.517 since getting back from the IL. Greene has been pretty constant all season lengthy, posting no less than an .830 OPS in 4 of 5 months. He does every little thing you need to see in a top quality hitter, from hitting the ball laborious (seventy fifth Percentile) to producing optimum launch angles (87th Percentile) and limiting one among chase or whiff (solely 21.7% Chase). Greene has been a bit disappointing within the R/RBI division given his expertise stage, however that could be a product of enjoying in a fringy lineup. That lineup now incorporates a wholesome Kerry Carpenter, so there ought to be extra optimism for Greene remainder of season.
Trevor Larnach
Larnach went 3-6 with a R, 3 RBI, and Okay on two hard-hit balls. The previous first rounder has been wonderful these days, posting a .880 OPS in August, and is 10-22 in his final 5 video games. He’s batting second within the Twins lineup with scorching scorching Matt Wallner hitting behind him. Larnach has wonderful high quality of contact, as he is posted above a .410 xwOBACON all 4 years of his profession, and has a profession excessive .499 xSLG in 2024. He has a ravishing capacity to each launch balls at optimum angles (38.5%, 91st Percentile) and hit the ball laborious (45.1%, 73rd Percentile). He has struck out over 31% in every of his first three seasons, however he has minimize that to simply 21.9%. I am starting to like Larnach, and it is best to too.
Kerry Carpenter
Carpenter went 2-4 with a two-run homer for 3 RBIs complete. He has been on a tear since getting back from damage, slashing .295/.340/.659, principally selecting up proper the place he left off earlier than damage. Carpenter confirmed oodles of promise in 2023, making him a primary sleeper candidate in 2024. Final 12 months, he was sixty fifth Percentile of higher in xSLG, EV, Barrel%, and LA Candy Spot. He’s at the moment driving a .369 xwOBA and .483 xwOBACON with a profession excessive laborious hit fee. Play him!
Jackson Merrill
Merrill went 2-4 with a R on three laborious hit balls. The rookie phenom has been crimson scorching in August, slashing .318/.348/.659 with 6 homers. Probably the most spectacular half about Merrill’s profile is that he’s solely putting out at 17.9%. Nonetheless, he’s strolling at simply 4.5%, which could lead some to imagine that he has an above common swing fee, however Merrill truly swings at an above common clip, which is why he has a excessive chase proper (35.8%). This implies we might simply see Merrill stroll extra with the identical affect if he swung only a bit much less. That is extraordinarily bullish because it means Merrill’s capacity to regulate the at-bat when the pitch is within the zone may be very sturdy. I really like Merrill remainder of profession in all codecs.Â
Jacob Wilson
Jacob Wilson went 1-4 with a R and Okay in his return from damage. He batted ninth for Oakland, which may very well be good for the Runs division however ought to be pretty abysmal for RBIs, because the 4 hitters in entrance of him within the lineup all entered the sport with OPS’s beneath .700. Wilson was taken with the sixth general choose within the draft final 12 months, and completely dominated the higher minors in an admittedly small pattern. Wilson walked greater than he struck out in 26 video games in AAA, and his contact abilities have been effectively documented going again to varsity. I see him as a fill-in in factors leagues the place Okay/BB ratios matter.
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