Purchase Low on Mark Vientos and Matt McLain? – Might 31, 2025
Matt McLain (2B-CIN) went 1-4 with a strikeout as he batted ninth in opposition to the Cubs on Friday. The 25 year-old has largely scuffled in his return to motion after lacking all the 2024 marketing campaign, compiling a .179 common, 6 homers, 18 RBI, 24 runs scored, and 11 steals (in 11 possibilities) throughout 203 PA. His strikeout charge is as much as 31.5% (was 28.5% in 2023) whereas his contact charge is predictably down a bit to 74% general (74.5% in 2023). The excellent news is that McLain’s stroll charge is as much as 10.5% (from 7.5%) whereas his in-zone contact charge is improved from 2023 (up from 83% to 84.5%). Additionally encouraging is the truth that his Statcast profile reveals a 48% hard-hit charge (up from 42%), 10% barrel charge (down barely from 11%), and common exit velocity of 90 mph (up from 89.5). His common launch angle is up just a little from 13.8 to fifteen.8, which has translated to a major enhance in flyballs (up from 37% to 47%). Total, the superior metrics recommend that fantasy house owners ought to keep on with McLain and even contemplate him a buy-low candidate.
Mark Vientos (3B-NYM) went 0-3 with a trio of punchouts in opposition to the Rockies on Friday. The 25 year-old’s gradual begin to the 2025 season thus continues as he now owns a .231 common, 6 homers, 21 RBI, and 22 runs scored via his first 203 PA of the marketing campaign. Regardless of the trio of strikeouts on Friday, his strikeout charge of 23.5% on the yr is way improved from 2024 (29.5%) whereas his 14.5% swinging-strike charge (down from 16%), 71% contact charge (up from 68%), and 80.5% in-zone contact charge (up from 78%) had been all higher. High quality of contact is down a bit from 2024, however nonetheless strong as Statcast reveals a forty five.5% hard-hit charge (was 46.5% in 2024), 7.5% barrel charge (was 14%), and common exit velo of 90.5 mph (was 91). All issues thought of, he could possibly be a pleasant buy-low candidate in fantasy.
Jose Soriano (SP-LAA) blanked Cleveland over 6 IP by which he scattered 4 hits and 4 walks whereas putting out a pair on 96 pitches (57 strikes). The 26 year-old righty now claims a 3.41 ERA, 6.4 Ok/9, 4.5 BB/9, and three.84 xFIP via 68.2 IP (12 begins) on the yr. Whereas that is not a lot of a niche between the ERA and xFIP, each his strikeout and stroll charges are poor whereas the opposition has had little bother registering loud contact in opposition to Soriano as Statcast reveals a 46% hard-hit charge, 8% barrel charge, and common exit velo of 90.5 mph. A mean launch angle of -2.5 that has led to a 64.5% groundball charge has helped to restrict the injury, but it surely’s robust to belief a man with shaky management who does not miss loads of bats (10.5% swinging-strike charge). Up subsequent is a scheduled begin in Boston on Wednesday.
Jack Leiter (SP-TEX) held the Cardinals scoreless over 5.2 IP on Friday, scattering 3 hits and a pair of walks whereas fanning 6 on 96 pitches (59 strikes). The 25 year-old righty now owns a 3.66 ERA, 7 Ok/9, 4.4 BB/9, and 4.88 xFIP via 46.2 IP (9 begins) on the season. The hole between the ERA and xFIP actually means that some regression is coming, and neither the stroll nor strikeout charge are good. Leiter hasn’t missed many bats (9.5% swinging-strike charge) whereas the opposition has made loads of contact (79% general, 85.5% in zone). And there is been some loud contact, together with a 38.5% hard-hit charge, 11% barrel charge, and common exit velo of 90 mph. He is slated to face the Rays on the street on Thursday, they usually’ve been fairly middling in opposition to RHP with a .714 OPS in opposition to RHP that ranks #18 in MLB.
AJ Smith-Shawver (SP-ATL) had his promising 2025 season come to a untimely finish as he was transferred to the 60-day IL with a torn UCL in his proper (throwing) elbow on Friday. He’ll most certainly endure Tommy John surgical procedure or an inner brace process. It is too unhealthy, because the 22 year-old righty flashed some upside this season with a 3.86 ERA, 8.5 Ok/9, 4.3 BB/9, and 4.15 xFIP over 44.1 IP (9 begins). With an 11.5% swinging-strike charge that was an enchancment from figures posted throughout his earlier stints to go along with a decrease contact charge (75.5%), Smith-Shawver was displaying some fantasy upside. To make certain, the stroll charge in addition to his Statcast profile (which included a 51% hard-hit charge, 12.5% barrel charge, and common exit velo of 91.5 mph) indicated that he has some extra maturing to do as a pitcher, however there is not any denying that his uncooked stuff – which features a 95.5-mph common heater, 77-mph curve, and an 83-mph splitter that was a brand new addition to his repertoire this season (changing his change-up) – is intriguing for fantasy functions. However he is now unlikely to once more be fantasy related till 2027.
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