Member what I stated in my Cody Bradford sleeper about leaning into command specialists? Spencer Arrighetti had a 4 BB/9. Fall asleep, Gray, you’re drunk. Only a silly flip-flopping flip-flopper! There’s nothing I hate greater than a flip-flopping flip-flipper even when it’s referring to myself! It’s very good that Spencer Arrighetti had a ten.6 Okay/9 in 145 IP and is barely 24 years of age. I don’t care, you flop-flipping flop-flipper! Did you simply flip-flop a “flip-flopping flip-flopper” to flip it to “flop-flipping flop-flipper?” Son of a–[sees that I called Spencer Arrighetti a future 2025 fantasy baseball sleeper more than anyone else during the 2nd half of the season during my 2nd half roundups] Hmm, what was August-Via-September Gray occurring about? Was he behind my flip-flopping? Is he the rationale behind my flip-flopping of flip-flopper to flop-flipper?! Did I enter a contest for many instances flip-flop flip-flopping flip-flopper to flip it to flop-flipping flop-flipper may very well be utilized in a fantasy baseball publish? Perhaps, sure. I simply had a small little chuckle occupied with ChatGPT making an attempt to coach it’s AI mannequin about fantasy baseball by feeding it this publish. I’m making robots dumber, one publish at a time. So, what can we anticipate from Spencer Arrighetti for 2025 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
PSYCHE! My 2025 fantasy baseball rankings are all on Patreon. Don’t await the rankings to come back out subsequent month. Anyway II, the Tanner Bibee sleeper:
So, I did name Spencer Arrighetti a sleeper greater than some other participant within the 2nd half final 12 months and nonetheless do need pitchers with wonderful command and Spencer Arrighetti had a stroll charge north of 4. All of that’s true, however as you would possibly’ve reasoned by now, I referred to as him a sleeper a lot as a result of his command wasn’t egregious within the 2nd half. In August, Arrighetti had a 13.1 Okay/9 and a couple of.8 BB/9. I’m sorry, are you making an attempt to change into Tarik Skubal? That was in 32 1/3 IP, and once I started to begin to fall in love with him. In 65 IP within the 2nd half, he had a 3.18 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10.8 Okay/9, 2.9 BB/9 and a 21.4% Okay-BB. That may’ve been high ten in MLB if it was over the course of the season, between Wheeler and Shota. (For some purpose, at first I wrote Shota’s identify as Shotsky. Ha, he hasn’t been in Chicago that lengthy.) On the season, Arrighetti had a 16.8 Okay-BB%, which is the thirtieth finest, proper behind Corbin Burnes. Within the 2nd half, 21.4% Okay-BB% was fifteenth finest, between Shotsky and Ober. As I’ve stated so many instances, in case you had been to simply draft starters based mostly on Okay-BB%, you would solely go so unsuitable.
How has Spencer Arrighetti turned water into butter like a Pitching Jesus? A 94 MPH fastball setup pitch that will get rocked if he mis-locates, which he does, however an unhittable array of different junk. His curve produced a .171 BAA and he threw it 20% of the time. It was principally the third finest curve in baseball final 12 months. It’s Blake Snell, Zac Gallen then him. (Give or take, Flaherty and Fried are there too.) His 81 MPH sweeper, that he threw 11% of the time, had a .113 BAA. That ranked third within the majors, even when together with relievers. It was Bryan Hudson, Porter Hodge then Arrighetti. Subsequent starter was Severino with a .139 BAA, then Sonny Grey with .142 BAA. Lastly, his 88 MPH cutter, which was fifteenth finest within the majors. If his command will get higher (why wouldn’t it) and he locates his fastball higher, he’s going to be a high 5 starter in baseball. As it’s, he’s sitting there with a “simply okay” fastball (due to location) and three lights-out pitches.
Oh, by the by, final 12 months? That was his rookie 12 months. Full cease. Truly, no full cease. Saying it once more another way, the 24-year-old Spencer Arrighetti received that a lot better within the 2nd half of his rookie 12 months. What’s he going to do for an encore? 10.5 Okay/9, 3 BB/9? If that’s what we get, we’re going to get an ace for 140 IP and perhaps some iffy begins for 30 IP. That’s being conservative. He’s being drafted round 220 total. you’ll be able to bench a man in dangerous matchups, proper? Hate a affected person workforce matchup which may hit Arrighetti laborious if he falls behind in counts? Bench him. If I’m getting 140 IP of ace-shizz, I would like that ace-shizz at 220 total. For 2025, I’ll give Spencer Arrighetti projections of 11-9/3.61/1.32/204 in 172 IP with an opportunity for extra.
